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Aksu vs Tyumen

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Porokhov I.
7' Event
Porokhov I.
47' Event
Porokhov I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Aksu and Tyumen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tyumen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aksu
15%
Draws
55%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Aksu haven't matched Tyumen's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aksu Clean Sheet 18%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksu Tyumen
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Aksu vs Tyumen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aksu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Porokhov I.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksu 32 / 100
Tyumen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksu Tyumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tyumen conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aksu's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Aksu went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tyumen
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksu

(Home)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

Tyumen

(Away)
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
23 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg 2
1 : 1
Tyumen
16 Aug
Tyumen
4 : 3
Torpedo Miass
12 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 1
Tyumen
08 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 0
Tyumen
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