Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aksu vs Zhetisay

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup 2024 Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Abylaykhan R.
32'
Sarbay E.
36'
Ryskul B.

AI Match Summary

Zhetisay in this Kazakhstan Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Aksu
15%
Draws
44%
Zhetisay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhetisay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Very High Confidence
  • Zhetisay have won more games recently than Aksu.
  • Model gives Aksu a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Zhetisay arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zhetisay, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Aksu Clean Sheet 68%
Zhetisay Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksu Zhetisay
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 1 16
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2024 Kazakhstan Cup
Aksu vs Zhetisay
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aksu Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Zhetisay Compare

Top Goalscorer Abylaykhan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serikkul R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksu 86 / 100
Zhetisay 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksu Zhetisay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhetisay has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Zhetisay registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Aksu found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (4 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Zhetisay
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksu

(Home)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

Zhetisay

(Away)
24 Oct
Zhetisay
1 : 1
Taraz
16 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 1
Zhetisay
03 Oct
Zhetisay
1 : 2
Altai
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
19 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
5 : 0
Zhetisay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ertis Pavlodar 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 AKAS 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Okzhetpes 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Khan Tengri 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademiya Ontustik 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Altai 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Akzhayik Uralsk 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taraz 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 FC Ekibastuz 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Turkistan 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jas Qyran 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Arys 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
3 Kaspij Aktau 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Family 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Ulytau 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Maqtaaral 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zhetisay 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Aksu 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FK Kyran 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)