Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2024

Akzhayik Uralsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aktobe 2 play Akzhayik Uralsk in the First Division 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aktobe 2 averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2.76 conceded. Akzhayik Uralsk averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. In past meetings, Aktobe 2 won 1, Akzhayik Uralsk won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 11, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Aktobe 2 and 1.56 for Akzhayik Uralsk. This points to a Akzhayik Uralsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Aktobe 2

15%

Draws

46%

Akzhayik Uralsk

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akzhayik Uralsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Aktobe 2 picked up more points recently compared to Akzhayik Uralsk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aktobe 2	Akzhayik Uralsk
Matches Played	34	28
Wins	7	7
Draws	8	3
Losses	19	18
Goals Scored	1.56	0.86
Goals Conceded	2.76	1.96

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2024 First League

Akzhayik Uralsk vs Aktobe 2

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Jul 12, 2024 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Oct 24, 2023 First League

Akzhayik Uralsk vs Aktobe 2

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Jul 13, 2023 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Sep 20, 2011 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 38 / 100

Akzhayik Uralsk 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aktobe 2 Akzhayik Uralsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Akzhayik Uralsk or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aktobe 2 attacking → ← attacking Akzhayik Uralsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Akzhayik Uralsk let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Aktobe 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Akzhayik Uralsk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 24

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Okzhetpes	28	20	3	5	61:16	63
2	Ulytau	28	19	3	6	69:29	60
3	Kaspij Aktau	28	18	4	6	63:29	58
4	Kairat Almaty 2	28	18	3	7	67:43	57
5	Khan Tengri	28	17	4	7	55:30	55
6	FC Ekibastuz	28	16	3	9	54:36	51
7	Zhetisay	28	14	6	8	50:37	48
8	Taraz	28	12	5	11	37:34	41
9	Altai	28	11	5	12	31:37	38
10	SD Family	28	9	4	15	53:64	31
11	Akzhayik Uralsk	28	7	3	18	24:48	24
12	Kaisar Kyzylorda 2	28	5	7	16	23:56	22
13	Turkistan	28	4	7	17	26:70	19
14	Aktobe 2	28	3	3	22	25:73	12
15	Arys	28	5	4	19	28:64	10
16	FK Kyran	0	0	0	0	0:0	0