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Aktobe 2 vs FC Ekibastuz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Altynkhan A.
Assist: Orazbek A.
33' Event
Altynkhan A.

AI Match Summary

FC Ekibastuz in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aktobe 2
20%
Draws
16%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aktobe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aktobe 2 at 1.93 per game, FC Ekibastuz at 1.31.
  • Aktobe 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe 2 FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.86 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
0:2
May 8, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Aktobe 2
1:1
Jul 24, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
2:5
Apr 24, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Aktobe 2
3:3
Aug 2, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Altynkhan A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 83 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe 2 FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aktobe 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: FC Ekibastuz registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS FC Ekibastuz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4
Tobol 2
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
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FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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