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Aktobe 2 vs Khan Tengri

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Zhumagaliev A.
Assist: Umaniyazov M.
17' Event
Amirbek N.
Assist: Abdullaev B.
24' Event
Arturuly K.
Assist: Kikbaev M.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Aktobe 2 and Khan Tengri finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aktobe 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aktobe 2
20%
Draws
46%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Aktobe 2's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what Khan Tengri have produced (1.27).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe 2 Khan Tengri
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Khan Tengri
5:2
Oct 24, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Khan Tengri
3:1
Apr 10, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs Aktobe 2
2:0
Aug 16, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Khan Tengri
0:2
May 31, 2024 First League
Khan Tengri vs Aktobe 2
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arturuly K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zhumagaliev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Amirbek N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullaev B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 30 / 100
Khan Tengri 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe 2 Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Khan Tengri conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Aktobe 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Aktobe 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS Khan Tengri
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe 2

(Home)
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
13 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 6
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 6

Khan Tengri

(Away)
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
15 Aug
Khan Tengri
0 : 0
Arys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 22 20 1 1 64:8 61
2 Kairat Almaty 2 22 16 5 1 64:12 53
3 Turan 22 15 2 5 47:20 47
4 Akademiya Ontustik 22 13 3 6 36:27 42
5 Jaiyq 22 9 3 10 21:26 30
6 FC Astana 2 22 9 3 10 35:42 30
7 Taraz 22 8 5 9 30:32 29
8 FC Ekibastuz 22 7 5 10 30:46 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
10 Khan Tengri 22 7 4 11 29:42 25
11 Aktobe 2 22 6 5 11 37:65 23
12 Arys 22 6 3 13 25:42 21
13 Tobol 2 22 3 4 15 37:57 13
14 Yelimay Semey 2 22 3 3 16 16:43 12
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