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Aktobe vs Ordabasy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Koblandy Batyr Stadium, Aktobe
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aktobe host Ordabasy in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Aktobe at 1.55 goals for, 1.17 against; Ordabasy at 2.07 for, 0.69 against. Head-to-head, Aktobe have won 0 to Ordabasy's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.88, favoring Ordabasy. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aktobe
15%
Draws
46%
Ordabasy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ordabasy have won more games recently than Aktobe.
  • Ordabasy are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 10%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe Ordabasy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 23
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.55 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Aktobe vs Ordabasy
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
1:1
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Aktobe vs Ordabasy
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 26 / 100
Ordabasy 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe Ordabasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Aktobe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ordabasy has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe VS Ordabasy
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe

(Home)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Aktobe
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2
Aktobe
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Ordabasy

(Away)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)