Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aktobe vs Ulytau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Koblandy Batyr Stadium, Aktobe
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Shushenachev A.
Assist: Alvarez P.
20'
Erlanov T.
23' Event
Zulfikarov B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aktobe
20%
Draws
23%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aktobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aktobe lately — more wins on the board than Ulytau.
  • Win probability leans Aktobe's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 18%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe Ulytau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Aktobe vs Ulytau
2:2
Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Aktobe
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Aktobe
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Aktobe vs Ulytau
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Shushenachev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erlanov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulfikarov B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 76 / 100
Ulytau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe Ulytau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aktobe scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Ulytau let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Aktobe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe VS Ulytau
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe

(Home)
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Aktobe
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2
Aktobe
09 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1
Aktobe
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Ulytau

(Away)
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
08 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 1
Ulytau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 25 12 6 7 38:34 42
5 Aktobe 25 12 5 8 36:29 41
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 25 8 8 9 25:29 32
9 Ulytau 25 8 7 10 22:30 31
10 Kaspij Aktau 25 7 5 13 26:36 26
11 Altai 25 6 7 12 25:34 25
12 Ertis Pavlodar 24 5 8 11 24:33 23
13 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
14 Kaisar Kyzylorda 25 4 11 10 21:32 23
15 Kyzylzhar 25 6 5 14 25:39 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 25 5 7 13 26:43 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)