Sport Picks

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Aktobe W vs Tomiris-Turan W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Nurlanovna M.
Assist: Toktobolotova B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aktobe W
15%
Draws
49%
Tomiris-Turan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomiris-Turan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Aktobe W have won more games recently than Tomiris-Turan W.
  • Model gives Aktobe W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Aktobe W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tomiris-Turan W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Aktobe W Clean Sheet 20%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe W Tomiris-Turan W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 27 24
Draws 1 3
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 7.71 3.03
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 League Women
Aktobe W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:1
Sep 4, 2025 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Aktobe W
0:0
Jun 9, 2025 League Women
Aktobe W vs Tomiris-Turan W
5:0
Aug 26, 2024 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Aktobe W
0:8
Aug 23, 2024 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Aktobe W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurlanovna M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe W 85 / 100
Tomiris-Turan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe W Tomiris-Turan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tomiris-Turan W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Aktobe W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe W VS Tomiris-Turan W
6 Goals Scored 3.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe W

(Home)
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
17 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
0 : 2
Aktobe W
14 Sept
Aktobe W
0 : 1
Tomiris-Turan W
08 Sept
Aktobe W
6 : 0
Okzhetpes W
28 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 12
Aktobe W
Page 1 of 7

Tomiris-Turan W

(Away)
17 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
3 : 0
Tomiris-Turan W
14 Sept
Aktobe W
0 : 1
Tomiris-Turan W
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Tomiris-Turan W
4 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
24 Aug
Kaspij Aktau W
0 : 6
Tomiris-Turan W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
BIIK Shymkent W 5
Zhenis Astana W 0
Aktobe W 0
Tomiris-Turan W 1
Final
BIIK Shymkent W 3
Tomiris-Turan W 0
Zhenis Astana W 0
Aktobe W 2