Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2018

Shakhtar Bulat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aktobe Zhas play Shakhtar Bulat in the First Division 2018. Shakhtar Bulat are favorites here. Recently, Aktobe Zhas averaged 0.43 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Shakhtar Bulat averaged 1.78 goals scored and 2.41 conceded. In past meetings, Aktobe Zhas won 1, Shakhtar Bulat won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 14, 2019 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Aktobe Zhas and 1.24 for Shakhtar Bulat. This points to a Shakhtar Bulat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Aktobe Zhas

15%

Draws

67%

Shakhtar Bulat

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhtar Bulat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Aktobe Zhas picked up more points recently compared to Shakhtar Bulat.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Aktobe Zhas Clean Sheet 19%

Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aktobe Zhas	Shakhtar Bulat
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	0	10
Draws	4	5
Losses	26	17
Goals Scored	0.43	1.78
Goals Conceded	2.9	2.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2019 First League

Aktobe Zhas vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

May 25, 2019 First League

Shakhtar Bulat vs Aktobe Zhas

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Aug 31, 2018 First League

Aktobe Zhas vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Jul 28, 2018 First League

Shakhtar Bulat vs Aktobe Zhas

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Jun 1, 2018 First League

Aktobe Zhas vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe Zhas 20 / 100

Shakhtar Bulat 62 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aktobe Zhas Shakhtar Bulat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Bulat Win (2)

Secondary Pick Shakhtar Bulat & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aktobe Zhas attacking → ← attacking Shakhtar Bulat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe Zhas scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Shakhtar Bulat let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aktobe Zhas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shakhtar Bulat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Okzhetpes	33	23	5	5	61:27	74
2	Taraz	33	19	10	4	61:27	67
3	FK Kyran	33	20	5	8	61:38	65
4	Altai	33	18	8	7	56:28	62
5	Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2	33	18	3	12	45:26	57
6	FC Ekibastuz	33	13	9	11	42:35	48
7	Maqtaaral	33	14	6	13	41:41	48
8	Kairat Almaty 2	33	12	8	13	50:51	44
9	Baykonur Kyzylorda	33	10	8	15	36:47	38
10	Shakhtar Bulat	33	6	3	24	28:65	21
11	Kaspij Aktau	33	3	7	23	25:65	16
12	Aktobe Zhas	33	3	6	24	18:74	15