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Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al-Afreeki
33%
Draws
40%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Afreeki haven't matched Al Nasr's recent run of results.
  • Al Nasr are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Al Nasr have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Afreeki Al Nasr
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 2 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr
1:2
Mar 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al-Afreeki
2:0
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Afreeki 28 / 100
Al Nasr 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Afreeki Al Nasr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Afreeki's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Al Nasr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Al Nasr has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Afreeki VS Al Nasr
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380