Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahed vs Al Hikma

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Wed, Feb 11, 2026
0 - 1
11:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Al Ahed
30%
Draws
54%
Al Hikma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hikma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahed lately — more wins on the board than Al Hikma.
  • Al Hikma are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Al Ahed have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Hikma, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 13%
Al Hikma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahed Al Hikma
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
1:3
Jul 16, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
3:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahed 22 / 100
Al Hikma 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahed Al Hikma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hikma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahed scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Al Hikma conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Al Ahed went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahed VS Al Hikma
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahed

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 7

Al Hikma

(Away)
08 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 0
Al Hikma
03 Jul
Al Hikma
0 : 1
Nejmeh SC
29 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
20 Jun
Al Hikma
3 : 3
Jwayya SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nejmeh SC 1
Al Ansar 0
Jwayya SC 2
Safa 1
Al Ahed 3
Tadamon 1
Al Hikma 2
Al-Mabarrah 1
Semi-finals
Nejmeh SC 2
Jwayya SC 1
Al Ahed 0
Al Hikma 1
Final
Nejmeh SC 2
Al Hikma 0