Sport Picks
Al Ahed vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lebanon
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Al Ahed host Al Riyadi Abbasiyah in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Riyadi Abbasiyah have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Al Ahed have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.42. Past meetings favor Al Ahed slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.69, favoring Al Ahed. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Ahed carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Al Riyadi Abbasiyah's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Ahed have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Riyadi Abbasiyah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahed's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Recent resilience: Al Ahed stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahed
(Home)Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jwayya SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Nejmeh SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Ansar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Safa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Tadamon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ahed | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Tripoli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Hikma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 9 | Al Riyadi Abbasiyah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Al Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Mabarrah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
