Sport Picks
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem Rass - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
Match Events
2'
2'
Al Nakhli A.
Assist: Acolatse E.
21'
21'
Trincao F.
Assist: Toney I.
32'
32'
Toney I.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League game between Al Ahli SC and Al Hazem Rass finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Hazem Rass haven't matched Al Ahli SC's recent run of results.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli SC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Ahli SC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 68%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli SC | Al Hazem Rass |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem Rass
3:1
Feb 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem Rass
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Ahli SC
0:2
Dec 22, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Ahli SC
0:4
Aug 11, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem Rass
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ahli SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Trincao F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toney I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Al Hazem Rass Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Nakhli A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahli SC 86 / 100
Al Hazem Rass 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahli SC Al Hazem Rass
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahli SC's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Al Hazem Rass let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Al Ahli SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahli SC VS Al Hazem Rass
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli SC
(Home) 09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4 Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
26 Aug
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0 Auckland FC
22 Aug
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0 Abha
Page 1 of 4
Al Hazem Rass
(Away) 10 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Neom SC
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 0 Al Taawon
05 Sept
Al Faisaly
0 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Al Shabab
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
05 Sept
Al Faisaly
0 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
24 Aug
Al Ittihad
3 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
16 Aug
Al Bukiryah
2 : 3 Al Hazem Rass
13 Aug
Abha
1 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
