Sport Picks
Al Ahli SC vs Al Najma
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League game between Al Ahli SC and Al Najma finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Al Ahli SC come out ahead of Al Najma on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli SC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Ahli SC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli SC | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.43 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ahli SC Compare
Al Najma Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahli SC's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Al Najma has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Al Ahli SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |