Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City

Johor DT

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC play Johor DT in the AFC Champions League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Ahli SC averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Johor DT averaged 3.47 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Al Ahli SC won 1, Johor DT won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Al Ahli SC and 2.38 for Johor DT. This points to a Al Ahli SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Al Ahli SC

15%

Draws

39%

Johor DT

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Al Ahli SC picked up more points recently compared to Johor DT.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%

Johor DT Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Ahli SC	Johor DT
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	22	24
Draws	3	2
Losses	3	4
Goals Scored	2.25	3.47
Goals Conceded	0.79	0.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 AFC Champions League

Al Ahli SC vs Johor DT

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kessie F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Galeno

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Johor DT Compare

Avg xG / game 3.64

Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 43 / 100

Johor DT 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Ahli SC Johor DT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Ahli SC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Ahli SC attacking → ← attacking Johor DT

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Johor DT let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Ahli SC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Johor DT lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 74

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 4.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25