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Al Ahli SC W vs Al Nassr W

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Premier League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League Women game between Al Ahli SC W and Al Nassr W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Ahli SC W
20%
Draws
38%
Al Nassr W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahli SC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nassr W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli SC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Al Nassr W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Al Ahli SC W Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nassr W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC W Al Nassr W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 26
Draws 4 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.88 3.88
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League Women
Al Ahli SC W vs Al Nassr W
1:5
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W
3:1
Dec 13, 2024 Premier League Women
Al Ahli SC W vs Al Nassr W
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC W 40 / 100
Al Nassr W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC W Al Nassr W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ahli SC W scored in 100% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Ahli SC W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Al Nassr W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC W VS Al Nassr W
2.88 Goals Scored 3.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr W14130155:1239
2Al Ahli SC W1483346:2727
3Al Ittihad W1482424:2126
4Al Qadisiya W1472555:2523
5Al Hilal W1472531:2723
6Al-Ula W1442816:4114
7Neom SC W1413109:356
8Eastern Flames W14101311:593