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Al Ahli vs Al Budaiya Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Al Hashash A.
18' Event
Onana F.
65' Event
Sido Sadqo A. R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahli and Al Budaiya finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Budaiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Ahli
30%
Draws
31%
Al Budaiya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Ahli are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%
Al Budaiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Budaiya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Al Ahli
2:2
Feb 5, 2026 King's Cup
Al Budaiya vs Al Ahli
0:1
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Budaiya
2:3
Apr 1, 2023 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Budaiya
2:1
Dec 27, 2022 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Al Ahli
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hashash A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onana F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Budaiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Sido Sadqo A. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soares A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 86 / 100
Al Budaiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Budaiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Budaiya let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Al Ahli's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Ahli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Budaiya
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1
Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hidd
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Al Budaiya

(Away)
30 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Budaiya
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
21 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)