Sport Picks

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Al Ahli vs Al Buqaa

Jordan Jordan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Assam K.
69' Event
Alkass A. A.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Hassan M.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli host Al Buqaa in the Premier League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Al Buqaa have shipped 2.63 goals a game lately, while Al Ahli have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Al Ahli have won 2 to Al Buqaa's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.63) point toward Al Ahli. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ahli
6%
Draws
4%
Al Buqaa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Buqaa.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al Ahli.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%
Al Buqaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Buqaa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Buqaa
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Al Buqaa vs Al Ahli
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Buqaa
0:1
Aug 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Buqaa
2:3
May 9, 2019 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Buqaa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Buqaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Assam K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 95 / 100
Al Buqaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Buqaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Al Buqaa let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Ahli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Buqaa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Buqaa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hussein27195370:1762
2Al-Faisaly Amman27175552:2556
3Al Wehdat27166545:1954
4Al Ramtha27139540:2648
5Al Salt27971133:3534
6Al Jazeera Amman27871228:4531
7Shabab Al Ordon27781222:3729
8Al Buqaa27771341:6628
9Al Ahli27591326:4424
10Sama Al Sarhan27132315:586