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Al Ahli vs Al Duhail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli host Al Duhail in the QSL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Al Duhail have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Al Ahli have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.68. Past meetings favor Al Ahli slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.94) point toward Al Duhail. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Ahli
20%
Draws
52%
Al Duhail
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Duhail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Duhail come out ahead of Al Ahli on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahli's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%
Al Duhail Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Duhail
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Duhail
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 QSL
Al Duhail vs Al Ahli
2:3
Sep 2, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Duhail
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 QSL
Al Duhail vs Al Ahli
4:2
Oct 19, 2024 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Duhail
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 34 / 100
Al Duhail 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Duhail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Duhail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Ahli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Duhail
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
30 Oct
Al Shahaniya
1 : 2
Al Ahli
22 Oct
Al Gharafa
2 : 2
Al Ahli
16 Oct
Al Ahli
0 : 3
Al Wakra
10 Oct
Al Ahli
5 : 0
Al Sailiya
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 6

Al Duhail

(Away)
28 Oct
Al Shabab Hadramaut
1 : 2
Al Duhail
24 Oct
Al Duhail
3 : 1
Lusail
18 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Duhail
14 Oct
Al Duhail
3 : 0
Al Shabab
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 8 6 0 2 31:14 18
2 Al Rayyan 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
3 Al Duhail 7 4 3 0 15:6 15
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 7 3 3 1 16:8 12
5 Al Wakra 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Al Ahli 8 3 2 3 14:15 11
7 Al Gharafa 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
8 Shamal 8 2 3 3 13:17 9
9 Al Shahaniya 8 2 1 5 9:21 7
10 Lusail 7 1 3 3 8:8 6
11 Qatar SC 8 1 3 4 9:18 6
12 Al Sailiya 7 0 1 6 8:26 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)