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Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles Galaxy host Austin FC in the MLS. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Los Angeles Galaxy at 1.31 goals for, 1.72 against; Austin FC at 1.42 for, 1.68 against. Past meetings favor Los Angeles Galaxy slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Los Angeles Galaxy. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Los Angeles Galaxy
30%
Draws
23%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Los Angeles Galaxy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Angeles Galaxy haven't matched Austin FC's recent run of results.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 13%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles Galaxy Austin FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:2
Jul 17, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin FC
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:0
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin FC
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles Galaxy 57 / 100
Austin FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles Galaxy Austin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Angeles Galaxy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Los Angeles Galaxy found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Los Angeles Galaxy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles Galaxy VS Austin FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles Galaxy

(Home)
26 Oct
Los Angeles FC
2 : 2
Los Angeles Galaxy
18 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 2
San Diego FC
15 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
11 Oct
St. Louis City
6 : 2
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6

Austin FC

(Away)
25 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2
Austin FC
18 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 2
Vancouver Whitecaps
15 Oct
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1
Austin FC
11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4
Nashville SC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 31 16 7 8 63:32 55
2 FC Dallas 31 15 9 7 58:47 54
3 St. Louis City 31 14 9 8 56:44 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 31 13 9 9 52:45 48
5 Houston Dynamo 31 13 9 9 41:39 48
6 Los Angeles FC 32 12 11 9 50:35 47
7 Seattle Sounders 31 11 10 10 41:39 43
8 Colorado Rapids 31 12 6 13 42:41 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 32 10 11 11 45:54 41
10 Real Salt Lake 31 11 6 14 48:48 39
11 Portland Timbers 31 10 7 14 54:58 37
12 San Diego FC 31 8 11 12 55:58 35
13 Minnesota United 31 8 11 12 47:55 35
14 Austin FC 31 8 10 13 40:57 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 31 6 4 21 37:77 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 31 21 7 3 66:23 70
2 New England Revolution 31 17 4 10 51:42 55
3 Inter Miami 31 15 10 6 73:53 55
4 Chicago Fire 31 15 6 10 55:46 51
5 Charlotte FC 31 13 8 10 55:48 47
6 Philadelphia Union 31 13 7 11 62:50 46
7 Orlando City 31 12 6 13 60:72 42
8 FC Cincinnati 31 11 9 11 64:71 42
9 New York Red Bulls 31 11 6 14 41:56 39
10 Columbus Crew 31 11 5 15 50:49 38
11 Toronto FC 31 8 12 11 48:59 36
12 New York City 31 8 11 12 45:43 35
13 DC United 31 7 12 12 38:55 33
14 Atlanta United 31 8 6 17 39:54 30
15 CF Montreal 31 6 7 18 36:62 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)