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Al Ahli vs Al Muharraq Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahli and Al Muharraq finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Ahli
30%
Draws
31%
Al Muharraq
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli haven't matched Al Muharraq's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 17%
Al Muharraq Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Muharraq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Al Ahli
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 King's Cup
Al Muharraq vs Al Ahli
2:1
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Muharraq
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Al Ahli
3:0
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Muharraq
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 30 / 100
Al Muharraq 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Muharraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Ahli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Al Muharraq has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Muharraq
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1
Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hidd
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Al Muharraq

(Away)
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
10 Sept
Al Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)