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Al Ahli vs Al Sailiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli host Al Sailiya in the QSL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Al Ahli at 1.55 goals for, 1.9 against; Al Sailiya at 1.14 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor Al Ahli slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward Al Ahli. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Ahli
30%
Draws
12%
Al Sailiya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli lately — more wins on the board than Al Sailiya.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 12%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Sailiya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Sailiya
2:2
Jan 19, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Sailiya vs Al Ahli
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Ahli
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Sailiya
0:4
Jan 12, 2023 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Ahli
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 56 / 100
Al Sailiya 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Sailiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Sailiya let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Sailiya
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
Page 1 of 6

Al Sailiya

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Sailiya
1 : 1
Al Rayyan
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)