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Al Ahli vs Ali CSC Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Al Ahli Logo

Al Ahli

4 - 1
FT
Ali CSC Logo

Ali CSC

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Al Hashash A.
43' Event
Al Hashash A.
(Penalty)
45' Event
da Silva R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Al Ahli and Ali CSC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Ahli
30%
Draws
31%
Ali CSC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Ahli a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Ali CSC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Ali CSC
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.39 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 Premier League
Ali CSC vs Al Ahli
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Ali CSC
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hashash A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Habib F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ali CSC Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 42 / 100
Ali CSC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Ali CSC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ali CSC let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Al Ahli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1
Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hidd
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Ali CSC

(Away)
09 Jun
Al Hala
1 : 2
Ali CSC
04 Jun
Ali CSC
0 : 1
Bahrain SC
31 May
Ali CSC
0 : 0
Isa Town
26 May
Ali CSC
0 : 2
Al Muharraq
22 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0
Ali CSC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 16 3 3 54:17 51
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 13 3 6 40:26 42
3 Sitra 22 10 8 4 33:21 38
4 Al Riffa 22 11 5 6 39:27 38
5 Al Shabbab 22 7 9 6 23:23 30
6 Malkia 22 6 10 6 23:27 28
7 Al Ahli 22 8 3 11 32:35 27
8 Al Najma 22 7 6 9 29:29 27
9 Bahrain SC 22 6 5 11 27:41 23
10 Ali CSC 22 6 5 11 26:37 23
11 East Riffa 22 4 8 10 21:31 20
12 Manama Club 22 2 7 13 15:48 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)