Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Joao Pedro
14'
14'
Danzabe R.
38'
38'
Joao Pedro
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-6, with Qatar SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Qatar SC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Al Ahli's way, sitting at 40%.
- Al Ahli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Qatar SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 14%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli | Qatar SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:6
Aug 30, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Ahli
2:0
May 4, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ahli Compare
Top Goalscorer Ali T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Qatar SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
3 Goals Assists Leader Danzabe R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahli 39 / 100
Qatar SC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahli Qatar SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahli found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Qatar SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Al Ahli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahli VS Qatar SC
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli
(Home) 11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0 Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0 Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3 Lusail
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1 Al Ahli
03 Aug
Al Hilal
3 : 3 Al Ahli
Page 1 of 7
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0 Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3 Lusail
19 Apr
Al Ahli
3 : 1 Al Hussein
08 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 1 Al-Duhail
03 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2 Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 3
Qatar SC
(Away) 12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0 Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0 Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6 Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2 Qatar SC
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2 Al-Duhail
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0 Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0 Qatar SC
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2 Qatar SC
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0 Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1 Qatar SC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
