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Al Ahli vs Qatar SC

Qatar Qatar

QSL Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Marquez Lopez B.
12'
Palangi E.
17'
Sub
Bruno Tabata In: Addai A.
Out: Bruno Tabata

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Al Ahli and Qatar SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Ahli
35%
Draws
24%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Ahli are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 12%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Qatar SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:6
Aug 30, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Ahli
2:0
May 4, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelrahman Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Qatar SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 65 / 100
Qatar SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Qatar SC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Qatar SC
2 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
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Qatar SC

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)