Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahli vs Qatar SC

Qatar Qatar

QSL Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Thu, Sep 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli host Qatar SC in the QSL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Al Ahli at 1.5 goals for, 1.13 against; Qatar SC at 1.29 for, 1.86 against. Past meetings favor Qatar SC slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.68 - 1.21) back Al Ahli to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Ahli
11%
Draws
9%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Ahli are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Qatar SC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Qatar SC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:6
Aug 30, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Ahli
2:0
May 4, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
1:0
Feb 7, 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Qatar SC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 76 / 100
Qatar SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ahli scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Qatar SC conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Al Ahli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Qatar SC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
22 Apr
Al Nassr
5 : 1
Al Ahli
19 Apr
Al Ahli
3 : 1
Al Hussein
08 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al-Duhail
03 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 7

Qatar SC

(Away)
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1
Qatar SC
03 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 4
Al Wakra
18 Mar
Umm-Salal
0 : 0
Qatar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd00000:00
2Al-Gharafa00000:00
3Al Arabi (Qatar)00000:00
4Al Rayyan00000:00
5Qatar SC00000:00
6Al Wakra00000:00
7Al Sailiya00000:00
8Al Ahli00000:00
9Al-Duhail00000:00
10Shamal00000:00
11Al-Shahaniya00000:00
12Lusail00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)