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Al Ahli vs Shabab Al Ordon Prediction & H2H Stats

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Duran J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahli and Shabab Al Ordon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Al Ordon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Ahli
35%
Draws
37%
Shabab Al Ordon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shabab Al Ordon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Shabab Al Ordon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shabab Al Ordon a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 24%
Shabab Al Ordon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Shabab Al Ordon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
0:1
Feb 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Shabab Al Ordon
0:1
Sep 25, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Shabab Al Ordon
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shabab Al Ordon Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 29 / 100
Shabab Al Ordon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Shabab Al Ordon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabab Al Ordon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Shabab Al Ordon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Ahli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Shabab Al Ordon
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
08 May
Al Wehdat
2 : 0
Al Ahli
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al-Faisaly Amman
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hussein
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Shabab Al Ordon

(Away)
19 Sept
Shabab Al Ordon
3 : 3
Al Hussein
10 Sept
Al Jazeera Amman
1 : 1
Shabab Al Ordon
04 Sept
Shabab Al Ordon
1 : 1
Al Ramtha
08 May
Shabab Al Ordon
2 : 0
Sama Al Sarhan
04 May
Al Jazeera Amman
1 : 3
Shabab Al Ordon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 27 19 5 3 70:17 62
2 Al-Faisaly Amman 27 17 5 5 52:25 56
3 Al Wehdat 27 16 6 5 45:19 54
4 Al Ramtha 27 13 9 5 40:26 48
5 Al Salt 27 9 7 11 33:35 34
6 Al Jazeera Amman 27 8 7 12 28:45 31
7 Shabab Al Ordon 27 7 8 12 22:37 29
8 Al Buqaa 27 7 7 13 41:66 28
9 Al Ahli 27 5 9 13 26:44 24
10 Sama Al Sarhan 27 1 3 23 15:58 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)