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Al Ahli vs Shabab Al Ordon

Jordan Jordan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Duran J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ahli and Shabab Al Ordon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Al Ordon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Ahli
30%
Draws
34%
Shabab Al Ordon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Shabab Al Ordon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Ahli a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al Ordon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Shabab Al Ordon
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
0:1
Feb 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Shabab Al Ordon
0:1
Sep 25, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Shabab Al Ordon
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shabab Al Ordon Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 36 / 100
Shabab Al Ordon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Shabab Al Ordon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Shabab Al Ordon conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Shabab Al Ordon
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hussein27195370:1762
2Al-Faisaly Amman27175552:2556
3Al Wehdat27166545:1954
4Al Ramtha27139540:2648
5Al Salt27971133:3534
6Al Jazeera Amman27871228:4531
7Shabab Al Ordon27781222:3729
8Al Buqaa27771341:6628
9Al Ahli27591326:4424
10Sama Al Sarhan27132315:586