Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly Benghazi vs Darnes

Libya Libya

Premier League March 28 Stadium, Benghazi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Ahly Benghazi
20%
Draws
38%
Darnes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly Benghazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahly Benghazi have won more games recently than Darnes.
  • Al Ahly Benghazi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al Ahly Benghazi Clean Sheet 20%
Darnes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Benghazi Darnes
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.79 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Benghazi vs Darnes
2:2
Jan 14, 2026 Premier League
Darnes vs Al Ahly Benghazi
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 Premier League
Darnes vs Al Ahly Benghazi
2:2
Nov 5, 2022 Premier League
Al Ahly Benghazi vs Darnes
2:1
Mar 15, 2022 Premier League
Al Ahly Benghazi vs Darnes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Benghazi 49 / 100
Darnes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Benghazi Darnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Benghazi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly Benghazi found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Darnes conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Ahly Benghazi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Benghazi VS Darnes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly Benghazi

(Home)
23 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 4
Al Ahly Benghazi
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Ahly Benghazi
11 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Akhdar
07 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
2 : 1
Military Union
Page 1 of 7

Darnes

(Away)
24 Apr
Al-Anwar
0 : 1
Darnes
19 Apr
Darnes
1 : 0
Al Sadaqa
14 Apr
Military Union
1 : 0
Darnes
08 Apr
Darnes
0 : 0
Al Borouq
14 Mar
Al Ahly Benghazi
2 : 2
Darnes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)