Sport Picks

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Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Mourada

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Al-Ahly Merowe host Al Mourada in the Premier League 2018/2019. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al-Ahly Merowe at 0.25 goals for, 0.38 against; Al Mourada at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Al-Ahly Merowe have won 1 to Al Mourada's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 7, 2019, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al Mourada. Al Mourada in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al-Ahly Merowe
20%
Draws
38%
Al Mourada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ahly Merowe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Mourada has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al-Ahly Merowe.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Al-Ahly Merowe.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2018/2019 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ahly Merowe Al Mourada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 14 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2019 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Mourada
2:1
Feb 2, 2019 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Al-Ahly Merowe
2:1
Dec 12, 2018 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Mourada
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahly Merowe 42 / 100
Al Mourada 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ahly Merowe Al Mourada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ahly Merowe scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Al Mourada let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al-Ahly Merowe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Mourada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ahly Merowe VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ahli Khartoum73317:512
2Hay al-Arab73229:911
3Al Hilal Kadougli72419:710
4Alamal SC Atbara73139:810
5Rabita Kosti72325:59
6Al-Ahly Merowe71516:68
7Al Mourada71333:66
8Wad Hashim Sennar71335:76