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Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hay Al Wadi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Al-Ahly Merowe and Hay Al Wadi finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al-Ahly Merowe
22%
Draws
18%
Hay Al Wadi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al-Ahly Merowe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hay Al Wadi come out ahead of Al-Ahly Merowe on wins alone.
  • Al-Ahly Merowe are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ahly Merowe Hay Al Wadi
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 4 9
Draws 14 15
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:0
Jan 10, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hay Al Wadi
0:0
Dec 4, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hay Al Wadi
0:0
May 20, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hay Al Wadi
1:1
Feb 11, 2022 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Al-Ahly Merowe
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahly Merowe 58 / 100
Hay Al Wadi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ahly Merowe Hay Al Wadi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay Al Wadi let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Al-Ahly Merowe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Ahly Merowe scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ahly Merowe VS Hay Al Wadi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
33% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75