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Al-Ahly Merowe vs Tuti

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Sat, Jan 11, 2025
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Ahly Merowe play Tuti in the Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al-Ahly Merowe averaged 0.61 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Tuti averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Ahly Merowe won 3, Tuti won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 11, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Ahly Merowe and 1.00 for Tuti. This points to a Tuti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Ahly Merowe
40%
Draws
30%
Tuti
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Tuti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ahly Merowe picked up more points recently compared to Tuti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 23%
Tuti Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ahly Merowe Tuti
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 4 5
Draws 14 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.61 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Tuti
0:0
Feb 25, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Tuti
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 Premier League
Tuti vs Al-Ahly Merowe
2:2
Jun 18, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Tuti
2:0
Feb 18, 2022 Premier League
Tuti vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahly Merowe 32 / 100
Tuti 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ahly Merowe Tuti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tuti or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Ahly Merowe attacking → ← attacking Tuti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ahly Merowe scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Tuti let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al-Ahly Merowe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tuti lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 18
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75