Sport Picks
Match Events
No DataNo live events recorded yet.
AI Match Summary
Al-Ahly Merowe host Umm Mughad in the Premier League 2025. Al-Ahly Merowe are expected to control this from the start. Umm Mughad have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Al-Ahly Merowe have conceded 0.83 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Al-Ahly Merowe have won 0 to Umm Mughad's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al-Ahly Merowe. Al-Ahly Merowe in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Umm Mughad has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al-Ahly Merowe.
- Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Al-Ahly Merowe.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2025 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Ahly Merowe | Umm Mughad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 23 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.83 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Ahly Merowe scored in 44% of their last 27 games.
Umm Mughad let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Al-Ahly Merowe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Umm Mughad lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Mergheni | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Hay al-Arab | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 6 | Wad Nobawi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 2 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Merikh Nyala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hay Al Wadi | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Kober | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Zoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Tuti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Alamal SC Atbara | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ahli Khartoum | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 4 | Alfalah Atbra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Ahli Shendi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2:7 | 5 |