Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League Tripoli International Stadium

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ahly Tripoli host Al Watan in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Ahly Tripoli have averaged 3 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Al Watan's 0.88 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Ahly Tripoli slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.69, favoring Al Ahly Tripoli. Al Ahly Tripoli in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Al Ahly Tripoli

22%

Draws

18%

Al Watan

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Al Ahly Tripoli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Watan.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Al Ahly Tripoli.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%

Al Watan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Ahly Tripoli	Al Watan
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	24	9
Draws	6	9
Losses	2	12
Goals Scored	3	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.5	1
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League

Al Watan vs Al Ahly Tripoli

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Jan 15, 2026 Premier League

Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Watan

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Mar 14, 2025 Premier League

Al Watan vs Al Ahly Tripoli

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Jan 17, 2025 Premier League

Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Watan

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Tripoli 58 / 100

Al Watan 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Ahly Tripoli Al Watan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly Tripoli scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Al Watan let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Al Ahly Tripoli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Watan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Tripoli VS Al Watan

3 Goals Scored 0.88

0.5 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 25%

75% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	18	15	2	1	47:9	47
2	Asswehly	18	13	4	1	35:9	43
3	Al Madina	18	8	4	6	23:22	28
4	Al Watan	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
5	Assabah	18	6	4	8	12:18	22
6	Al Malaab El Libby	18	5	5	8	15:21	20
7	Al-Khmes	18	5	5	8	19:31	20
8	Al Qadisiyah	18	6	2	10	11:24	19
9	Al Dahra	18	3	5	10	20:27	14
10	Abu Salim	18	3	4	11	13:30	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Ittihad	16	13	3	0	35:9	42
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	7	6	3	21:11	27
4	Al-Majd	16	6	5	5	14:13	23
5	Al Shomooa	16	6	4	6	24:19	22
6	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	6	6	17:27	18
7	Al Tirsana	16	3	7	6	15:23	16
8	Ittihad Gharyan	16	2	4	10	10:25	10
9	Abi Al Ashar	16	1	3	12	9:32	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Military Union	16	10	5	1	26:9	35
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	16	10	4	2	20:11	34
3	Al Ahly Benghazi	16	9	6	1	23:6	33
4	Al Taawun	16	7	5	4	19:14	26
5	Darnes	16	5	5	6	16:16	20
6	Al Sadaqa	16	5	4	7	16:17	19
7	Al-Anwar	16	1	8	7	12:23	11
8	Al Borouq	16	2	4	10	7:21	10
9	Al-Suqoor	16	1	3	12	13:35	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	14	11	2	1	28:7	35
2	Al Akhdar	14	8	4	2	16:9	28
3	Al-Afreeki	14	7	2	5	29:18	23
4	Al Tahaddi	14	5	6	3	21:14	21
5	Khaleej Sirte	14	5	4	5	25:22	19
6	Wefaq Ajdabiya	14	5	3	6	13:17	18
7	Al Murooj SC	14	4	1	9	16:24	13
8	Al-Andalus	14	0	0	14	1:38	0