Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly Tripoli vs Biashara Mara United

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 Tripoli International Stadium
Sat, Oct 23, 2021
3 - 0
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahly Tripoli play Biashara Mara United in the CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Ahly Tripoli averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Biashara Mara United averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Al Ahly Tripoli won 1, Biashara Mara United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 23, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Al Ahly Tripoli and 0.69 for Biashara Mara United. This points to a Al Ahly Tripoli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Ahly Tripoli
39%
Draws
31%
Biashara Mara United
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahly Tripoli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Biashara Mara United.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Tripoli Biashara Mara United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 CAF Confederation Cup
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Biashara Mara United
3:0
Oct 15, 2021 CAF Confederation Cup
Biashara Mara United vs Al Ahly Tripoli
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Tripoli 31 / 100
Biashara Mara United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Tripoli Biashara Mara United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly Tripoli scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Biashara Mara United let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Al Ahly Tripoli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Biashara Mara United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Tripoli VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zanaco-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Binga5
MC Breweries0
ASFA Yennega2
San Pedro1
Simba-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Red Arrows2
Young Buffaloes1
TBD-
Primeiro de Agosto-
Mazembe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Futuro Kings2
Marumo Gallants4
TBD-
AS Vita Club-
ASEC Mimosas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
CFFA2
Kabwe1
Mafunzo0
Interclube4
Nouadhibou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Mangasport0
Orapa United1
TBD-
Cotonsport-
US Gendarmerie-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Missiri1
AS Kigali8
TBD-
Motema Pembe-
Otoho d'Oyo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlabara FC0
Al-Ahly Merowe4
TBD-
Mahia-
APR-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ben Guerdane3
Police2
TBD-
Berkane-
Tusker-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ashanti GB (SAG)2
Bayelsa United4
TBD-
CS Sfaxien-
Hearts of Oak-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
ASC Kara3
ASAC Concorde4
TBD-
Saoura-
Rivers United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Uganda Revenue5
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)2
TBD-
Al Masry-
Stade Malien-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dikhil0
Biashara Mara United3
Hay Al Wadi0
Al Ahly Tripoli4
Al-Ittihad-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Diambars de Saly3
Wakriya AC0
TBD-
Enyimba International-
AS Maniema-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Azam4
Horseed1
TBD-
Pyramids-
LPRC Oiler-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bumamuru0
Diables Noirs1
TBD-
Orlando Pirates-
Royal Leopards-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FAR Rabat3
Buffles du Borgou1
TBD-
Kabylie-
Semi-finals
Zanaco-
TBD-
Binga2
ASFA Yennega1
Simba-
TBD-
Red Arrows1
Primeiro de Agosto0
Mazembe-
TBD-
Marumo Gallants3
AS Vita Club2
ASEC Mimosas-
TBD-
CFFA0
Interclube3
Nouadhibou-
TBD-
Orapa United2
Cotonsport2
US Gendarmerie-
TBD-
AS Kigali2
Motema Pembe4
Otoho d'Oyo-
TBD-
Al-Ahly Merowe1
Mahia3
APR-
TBD-
Ben Guerdane0
Berkane5
Tusker-
TBD-
Bayelsa United1
CS Sfaxien4
Hearts of Oak-
TBD-
ASAC Concorde2
Saoura3
Rivers United-
TBD-
Uganda Revenue0
Al Masry1
Stade Malien-
TBD-
Biashara Mara United2
Al Ahly Tripoli3
Al-Ittihad-
TBD-
Diambars de Saly0
Enyimba International4
AS Maniema-
TBD-
Azam0
Pyramids1
LPRC Oiler-
TBD-
Diables Noirs0
Orlando Pirates1
Royal Leopards-
TBD-
FAR Rabat1
Kabylie3
Final
Zanaco3
Binga2
Simba4
Red Arrows2
Mazembe1
Marumo Gallants0
ASEC Mimosas5
Interclube2
Nouadhibou0
Cotonsport2
US Gendarmerie2
Motema Pembe1
Otoho d'Oyo2
Mahia1
APR1
Berkane2
Tusker0
CS Sfaxien1
Hearts of Oak2
Saoura4
Rivers United2
Al Masry2
Stade Malien1
Al Ahly Tripoli2
Al-Ittihad0
Enyimba International2
AS Maniema0
Pyramids2
LPRC Oiler0
Orlando Pirates2
Royal Leopards2
Kabylie2