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Al Ahly Tripoli vs KMKM Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2022/2023 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
Al Ahly Tripoli Logo

Al Ahly Tripoli

4 - 0
FT
KMKM Logo

KMKM

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Tandia I.
23' Event
El Trbi A.
77' Event
El Trbi A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ahly Tripoli in this CAF Champions League 2022/2023 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Al Ahly Tripoli
15%
Draws
16%
KMKM
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahly Tripoli lately — more wins on the board than KMKM.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahly Tripoli taking it.
  • Al Ahly Tripoli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahly Tripoli, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Ahly Tripoli here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
KMKM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Tripoli KMKM
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 30 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 2 21
Goals Scored 2.38 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.46 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Al Ahly Tripoli vs KMKM
4:0
Sep 5, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
KMKM vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:3
Sep 17, 2022 CAF Champions League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs KMKM
4:0
Sep 10, 2022 CAF Champions League
KMKM vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahly Tripoli Compare

Top Goalscorer El Trbi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tandia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

KMKM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
KMKM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Tripoli KMKM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly Tripoli scored in 90% of their last 39 games.

KMKM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Al Ahly Tripoli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Tripoli VS KMKM
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly Tripoli

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
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KMKM

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 Oct
Azam
7 : 0
KMKM
18 Oct
KMKM
0 : 2
Azam
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rivers United 3
Watanga 1
Wydad Athletic -
TBD -
Stade Mandji 2
Plateau United 3
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
Nigelec 2
SOAR 1
Raja Casablanca -
TBD -
APR 1
Monastir 3
Al Ahly -
TBD -
Olympic Real de Bangui 0
Vipers 4
Mazembe -
TBD -
Volcan Club 1
La Passe 0
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
Coton FC 1
ASEC Mimosas 4
Hawks -
Horoya -
ASKO Kara 2
Nouadhibou 1
Casa 1
Kabylie 3
Dep. Mongomo 2
Djoliba 5
Bo Rangers 0
CR Belouizdad 3
Zalan 0
Young Africans 9
St. Georges 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman 2
AS Arta 1
Al-Merreikh 2
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 6
Flambeau du Centre 2
Al Ittihad 2
Elect Sport 0
Zamalek 4
Cape Town City 2
Otoho d'Oyo 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Petro Atletico 5
Red Arrows 1
Primeiro de Agosto 2
Big Bullets 0
Simba 4
CFFA 3
Royal Leopards 5
Matlama 0
Cotonsport 4
Kadiogo 2
Asante Kotoko 1
Gaborone Utd 2
AS Vita Club 3
Final
Rivers United 2
Wydad Athletic 7
Plateau United 2
Esperance Tunis 2
Nigelec 0
Raja Casablanca 3
Monastir 0
Al Ahly 4
Vipers 1
Mazembe 0
La Passe 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 15
ASEC Mimosas 1
Horoya 2
ASKO Kara 2
Kabylie 3
Djoliba 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Young Africans 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman 2
Al-Merreikh 3
Al Ahly Tripoli 3
Flambeau du Centre 1
Zamalek 6
Cape Town City 0
Petro Atletico 4
Primeiro de Agosto 1
Simba 4
Royal Leopards 2
Cotonsport 3
Kadiogo 0
AS Vita Club 1