Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Ahly at 1.57 goals for, 0.86 against; Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) at 1.11 for, 0.86 against. Past meetings favor Al Ahly slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.94) back Al Ahly to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Ahly
20%
Draws
28%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahly lately — more wins on the board than Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon).
  • Al Ahly are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Al Ahly have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon), who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 20%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 13
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Al Ahly
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Al Ahly
1:3
Dec 30, 2025 League Cup
Al Ahly vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0:3
Aug 4, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
4:0
Nov 4, 2023 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Al Ahly
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly 49 / 100
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Al Ahly has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly VS Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2
Al Ahly
23 Aug
Al Ahly
3 : 2
Enppi
Page 1 of 6

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

(Away)
15 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 2
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
El Gaish
1 : 0
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Alexandria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zamalek 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Wadi Degla 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 ZED FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Qanah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Pyramids 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Modern Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 National Bank Egypt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Asyut Petroleum 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Ahly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 El Gouna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Abu Qir Semad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)