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Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Ansar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley host Al Ansar in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Al Ansar's 2.26 scored and 0.77 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Ansar slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 30, 2022, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 2.42, favoring Al Ansar. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
20%
Draws
74%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ansar lately — more wins on the board than Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Al Ansar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ansar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Al Ansar
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 6 25
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.93 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
3:0
Oct 17, 2021 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Ansar
0:2
Apr 10, 2021 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2:0
Jan 2, 2021 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Ansar
0:2
Nov 3, 2019 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 10 / 100
Al Ansar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Ansar conceded in 54% of 35 recent games.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley VS Al Ansar
0 Goals Scored 3.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

(Home)
13 Oct
Tripoli SC
2 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
17 Mar
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1 : 2
Bourj
10 Mar
Al Hikma
2 : 1
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
04 Mar
Salam Zgharta
0 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
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Al Ansar

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Ansar
2 : 1
Al Hikma
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwayya SC 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Safa 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Nejmeh SC 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
4 Tripoli SC 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Tadamon 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Al Ahed 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Hikma 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
10 Al Mabarrah 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
11 Al Sahel 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
12 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)