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Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Nejmeh SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tomiwa Gbadamosi I.
75' Event
Tomiwa Gbadamosi I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nejmeh SC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nejmeh SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
30%
Draws
58%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC have won more games recently than Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley.
  • Model gives Nejmeh SC a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 16%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 6 23
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.96 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Nejmeh SC
0:2
Sep 18, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Nejmeh SC
0:2
Apr 19, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Nejmeh SC
0:0
Mar 11, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Nejmeh SC
0:3
Feb 20, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Nejmeh SC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomiwa Gbadamosi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 19 / 100
Nejmeh SC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Nejmeh SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nejmeh SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Nejmeh SC has conceded goals in 47% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley VS Nejmeh SC
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
33% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
17 Mar
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1 : 2
Bourj
10 Mar
Al Hikma
2 : 1
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
04 Mar
Salam Zgharta
0 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
24 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2 : 2
Safa
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Nejmeh SC

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwayya SC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Nejmeh SC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Safa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Tadamon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al Ahed 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Tripoli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Hikma 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Al Sahel 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
12 Al Mabarrah 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)