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Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Racing Bejrut

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup 2012/2013
Sat, Apr 6, 2013
1 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
6%
Draws
4%
Racing Bejrut
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Bejrut haven't matched Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 15%
Racing Bejrut Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Racing Bejrut
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 10 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2013 Lebanese Cup
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Racing Bejrut
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 84 / 100
Racing Bejrut 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Racing Bejrut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Bejrut's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Racing Bejrut registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

(Home)
17 Mar
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1 : 2
Bourj
10 Mar
Al Hikma
2 : 1
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
04 Mar
Salam Zgharta
0 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
24 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2 : 2
Safa
19 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 0
Tadamon
Page 1 of 7

Racing Bejrut

(Away)
22 Dec
Bourj
3 : 0
Racing Bejrut
19 May
Racing Bejrut
1 : 4
Al Ahed
27 Apr
Racing Bejrut
1 : 0
Salam Zgharta
08 Jan
Safa
3 : 2
Racing Bejrut
30 Jan
Racing Bejrut
1 : 2
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1
Racing Bejrut0
Tripoli SC0
Shabab Al Sahel1
Al Ansar1
Tadamon3
Safa1
Al-Mabarrah0
Semi-finals
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley2
Shabab Al Sahel3
Tadamon0
Safa2
Final
Shabab Al Sahel1
Safa2