Sport Picks
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Safa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lebanon
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley host Safa in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Safa have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley have conceded 1.68 and scored 0.96. Head-to-head, Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley have won 1 to Safa's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2023, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 0.90) point toward Safa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Safa come out ahead of Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley on wins alone.
- Safa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Safa let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
(Home)Safa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jwayya SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Nejmeh SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Ansar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Safa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Tadamon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ahed | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Tripoli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Hikma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 9 | Al Riyadi Abbasiyah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Al Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Mabarrah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
