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Al Akhdar vs Al-Afreeki Prediction & H2H Stats

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Al Bayda Stadium, Bayda
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AI Match Summary

Al Akhdar in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Akhdar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Akhdar
20%
Draws
0%
Al-Afreeki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Akhdar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Akhdar have won more games recently than Al-Afreeki.
  • Al Akhdar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Akhdar here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Akhdar Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhdar Al-Afreeki
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 2
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Akhdar
2:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al-Afreeki
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Akhdar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhdar 85 / 100
Al-Afreeki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhdar Al-Afreeki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Akhdar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhdar found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Akhdar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Al-Afreeki registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Al-Afreeki has conceded goals in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhdar VS Al-Afreeki
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Akhdar

(Home)
23 May
Al Akhdar
2 : 0
Al Hilal Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Military Union
1 : 1
Al Akhdar
11 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Akhdar
07 May
Al Akhdar
1 : 1
Al Nasr
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Al-Afreeki

(Away)
23 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 4
Al Ahly Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Military Union
07 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Al Hilal Benghazi
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)