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Al Akhdar vs Al Ansar

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Afonso M. D.
Assist: Al Boraasi M.
62' Event
Al Fitouri A.
Assist: Baniouwda A.
66' Event
Ghidan F.
Assist: Afonso M. D.

AI Match Summary

Al Akhdar in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Akhdar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Akhdar
35%
Draws
27%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Akhdar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Akhdar have won more games recently than Al Ansar.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Al Akhdar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Akhdar Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhdar Al Ansar
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 17 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.44 0.95
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al Ansar
4:1
Dec 12, 2024 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Akhdar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Akhdar Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso M. D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Fitouri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouazeiza M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhdar 58 / 100
Al Ansar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhdar Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Akhdar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhdar's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Al Ansar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 22 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Al Akhdar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhdar VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Akhdar

(Home)
23 May
Al Akhdar
2 : 0
Al Hilal Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Military Union
1 : 1
Al Akhdar
11 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Akhdar
07 May
Al Akhdar
1 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

Al Ansar

(Away)
29 May
Al Branes
1 : 2
Al Ansar
25 May
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Al Murooj SC
20 May
Khaleej Sirte
1 : 1
Al Ansar
15 May
Al Ansar
0 : 1
Khaleej Sirte
10 May
Al Ansar
2 : 1
Al Branes
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 16 9 5 2 20:9 32
2 Al Akhdar 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Tahaddi 16 6 7 3 20:14 25
4 Khaleej Sirte 16 5 5 6 17:19 19
5 Al-Suqoor 16 5 4 7 16:20 19
6 Al-Anwar 16 5 4 7 18:26 19
7 Al Borouq 16 3 9 4 14:15 18
8 Al Ansar 16 4 2 10 15:26 14
9 Wefaq Ajdabiya 16 4 4 8 9:14 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 14 11 1 2 31:6 34
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 14 11 1 2 30:12 34
3 Al Sadaqa 14 7 3 4 16:13 24
4 Al Taawun 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
5 Al-Andalus 14 5 3 6 17:18 18
6 Al Murooj SC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
7 Al Branes 14 2 2 10 11:28 8
8 Al Mahdia 14 1 3 10 8:30 6
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Asswehly 16 12 4 0 36:12 40
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 11 4 1 28:13 37
3 Al-Ittihad 16 8 4 4 24:10 28
4 Al-Majd 16 6 3 7 25:29 21
5 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 8 4 18:18 20
6 Abu Salim 16 6 2 8 20:24 20
7 Al Bashaer 16 4 5 7 19:21 17
8 Al Tirsana 16 3 6 7 22:22 15
9 Al Nahda 16 0 0 16 5:48 -3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 16 13 3 0 38:4 42
2 Al Madina 16 10 4 2 27:14 34
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 6 5 5 14:14 23
4 Al Watan 16 5 5 6 19:22 19
5 Al Malaab El Libby 16 3 9 4 13:15 18
6 Al-Khmes 16 5 1 10 11:20 16
7 Abi Al Ashar 16 3 6 7 10:18 15
8 Al Dahra 16 3 6 7 11:22 15
9 Asaria 16 3 3 10 13:27 12
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)