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Al Akhdar vs Darnes

Libya Libya

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Akhdar in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Akhdar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Akhdar
35%
Draws
27%
Darnes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Akhdar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Akhdar lately — more wins on the board than Darnes.
  • Win probability leans Al Akhdar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Akhdar Clean Sheet 20%
Darnes Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhdar Darnes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2023 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Darnes
2:1
Dec 16, 2022 Premier League
Darnes vs Al Akhdar
2:1
May 14, 2022 Premier League
Darnes vs Al Akhdar
0:0
Jan 18, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Darnes
3:0
Jul 26, 2021 Premier League
Darnes vs Al Akhdar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhdar 40 / 100
Darnes 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhdar Darnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Akhdar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhdar's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Al Akhdar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Darnes let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhdar VS Darnes
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Akhdar

(Home)
23 May
Al Akhdar
2 : 0
Al Hilal Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Military Union
1 : 1
Al Akhdar
11 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Akhdar
07 May
Al Akhdar
1 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

Darnes

(Away)
24 Apr
Al-Anwar
0 : 1
Darnes
19 Apr
Darnes
1 : 0
Al Sadaqa
14 Apr
Military Union
1 : 0
Darnes
08 Apr
Darnes
0 : 0
Al Borouq
14 Mar
Al Ahly Benghazi
2 : 2
Darnes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 18 8 9 1 26:16 33
2 Al Nasr 18 7 9 2 20:15 30
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 18 8 5 5 23:16 29
4 Al Akhdar 18 7 5 6 23:19 26
5 Darnes 18 7 6 5 20:17 24
6 Al Taawun 18 5 9 4 21:21 24
7 Al Sadaqa 18 4 11 3 16:18 23
8 Al-Suqoor 18 4 8 6 17:22 20
9 Al Tahaddi 18 2 8 8 12:20 14
10 Shabaab Al Jabal 18 1 4 13 10:24 4
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 18 11 5 2 18:6 35
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 8 8 2 24:11 32
3 Abu Salim 18 8 8 2 16:8 32
4 Olympic Azzaweya 18 6 7 5 23:17 25
5 Asswehly 18 6 6 6 19:19 24
6 Asaria 18 2 10 6 16:27 16
7 Al-Khmes 18 4 6 8 11:18 15
8 Al Madina 18 3 10 5 15:19 13
9 Al Ittihad Misurata 18 2 9 7 12:16 12
10 Al Mahalla Tripoli 18 1 9 8 11:24 6
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)