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Stadium Background

Al Ansar vs Al Ahed

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nasser M.
Assist: Haidar M.
27' Event
Tneich A.
31' Event
Khalfallah H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ansar
6%
Draws
4%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ansar have won more games recently than Al Ahed.
  • Al Ansar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 15%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Al Ahed
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
3:3
Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
3:1
May 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Ansar
1:5
Jun 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tneich A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalfallah H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasser M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ito
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 84 / 100
Al Ahed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Al Ahed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Al Ansar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahed let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Al Ahed
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21105:34
2Nejmeh SC21102:04
3Al Ahed20113:51
4Jwayya SC20110:21