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Al Ansar vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2016/2017 Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
15' Event
19' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2016/2017 game between Al Ansar and Al Egtmaaey Tripoli finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ansar
6%
Draws
4%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ansar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Ansar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ansar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 20%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2017 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
5:1
Dec 11, 2016 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Al Ansar
1:2
Apr 2, 2016 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
2:0
Dec 20, 2015 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Al Ansar
2:2
Mar 21, 2014 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 85 / 100
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Egtmaaey Tripoli has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Ansar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
12 Jul
Al Ansar
3 : 3
Al Ahed
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
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Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

(Away)
21 Apr
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
3 : 6
Tripoli SC
15 Apr
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
0 : 2
Tadamon
08 Apr
Akha
4 : 1
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
05 Mar
Al Sahel
2 : 1
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
24 Feb
Racing
3 : 2
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahed22154341:1449
2Salam Zgharta22124635:2940
3Nejmeh SC22116536:2233
4Al Ansar2295835:4032
5Shabab Baalbeck2294926:2431
6Tadamon22931025:2530
7Racing2286826:3030
8Akha22921135:3729
9Tripoli SC22841034:3128
10Safa2286832:3227
11Al Sahel22741120:2325
12Al Egtmaaey Tripoli22221821:598
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