Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ansar vs Al Sahel

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Haidar M.
42' Event
Khalfallah H.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Bou Saleh M.
Assist: Hebous M.

AI Match Summary

Al Ansar in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Ansar
11%
Draws
9%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ansar have won more games recently than Al Sahel.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Al Ansar taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Al Sahel
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 22 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Sahel
3:0
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:1
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Sahel
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bou Saleh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tneich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Sahel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 86 / 100
Al Sahel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Al Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Al Ansar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Sahel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Al Sahel
2.13 Goals Scored 1.17
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
12 Jul
Al Ansar
3 : 3
Al Ahed
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
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Al Sahel

(Away)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)