Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ansar vs Al Sahel

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026 Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Haidar M.
42' Event
Khalfallah H.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Bou Saleh M.
Assist: Hebous M.

AI Match Summary

Al Ansar in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al Ansar
30%
Draws
27%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ansar have won more games recently than Al Sahel.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Al Ansar taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Al Sahel
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 24 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.3 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Sahel
3:0
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:1
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Sahel
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bou Saleh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tneich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al Sahel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 95 / 100
Al Sahel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Al Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Al Ansar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Sahel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Al Sahel
3 Goals Scored 1.4
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 60%
100% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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Al Sahel

(Away)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)