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Al Ansar vs Jwayya SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Malick Tall E.
Assist: Khalfallah H.
90' Event
Bader K.
Assist: Tneich A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ansar and Jwayya SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Ansar
30%
Draws
19%
Jwayya SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ansar come out ahead of Jwayya SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Ansar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Al Ansar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Jwayya SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.28 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ansar
1:2
Jul 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Jwayya SC
2:0
Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Jwayya SC
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ansar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Malick Tall E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bader K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Jwayya SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 95 / 100
Jwayya SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Jwayya SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Al Ansar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Jwayya SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Jwayya SC
3.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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Jwayya SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 27 20 5 2 64:16 39
2 Nejmeh SC 27 17 6 4 50:15 34
3 Jwayya SC 27 12 7 8 37:22 24
4 Al Ahed 27 13 4 10 41:34 23
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)