Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ansar vs Safa

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Malick Tall E.
Assist: Bader K.
32' Event
Matar N.
Assist: Sherkawi A.
48' Event
Shweikh H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ansar and Safa finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Ansar
30%
Draws
33%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ansar come out ahead of Safa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Ansar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Ansar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 15%
Safa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Safa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.2 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Safa
4:1
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ansar
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Safa
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ansar
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ansar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Malick Tall E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matar N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Shweikh H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 35 / 100
Safa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Ansar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Safa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Safa
3.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 86%
100% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
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Safa

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
2 Al Ahed 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Safa 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Premier League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nejmeh SC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Jwayya SC 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Al Hikma 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Premier League (Placement Play Offs)