Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ansar vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Akuki G.
45' Event
Khalfallah H.
Assist: El Dor M.
88' Event
Bou Saleh M.
Assist: Hebous M.

AI Match Summary

Al Ansar in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al Ansar
30%
Draws
27%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ansar have won more games recently than Tadamon.
  • Win probability leans Al Ansar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ansar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Tadamon
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 23 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.24 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Ansar
0:3
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Tadamon
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Tadamon
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Tadamon
3:0
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Ansar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalfallah H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bou Saleh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Tadamon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 95 / 100
Tadamon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Tadamon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ansar scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Al Ansar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tadamon conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Tadamon
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
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Tadamon

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)