Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al-Waab

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Grand Hamad Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Qatar) play Al-Waab in the QSL Cup. Al-Waab are favorites here. Recently, Al Arabi (Qatar) averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Al-Waab averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Al Arabi (Qatar) won 1, Al-Waab won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al Arabi (Qatar) and 1.00 for Al-Waab. This points to a Al-Waab double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
25%
Draws
60%
Al-Waab
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al-Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) picked up more points recently compared to Al-Waab.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Waab Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Qatar) Al-Waab
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al-Waab
3:1
Sep 22, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al-Waab
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 QFA Cup
Al-Waab vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Moein Doozandeh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al-Waab Compare

Top Goalscorer Faisal B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Qatar) 18 / 100
Al-Waab 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Qatar) Al-Waab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Waab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al-Waab & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Arabi (Qatar) attacking → ← attacking Al-Waab

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Arabi (Qatar) scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Al-Waab let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Al Arabi (Qatar) went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al-Waab lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 36
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315