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Stadium Background

Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al-Waab

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Grand Hamad Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gueye O.
Assist: Mathnani M. A.
28' Event
Issa A.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Reda S. In: Sarabia P.
Out: Reda S.

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Qatar) in this QSL Cup matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Arabi (Qatar).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
33%
Draws
40%
Al-Waab
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al-Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Waab haven't matched Al Arabi (Qatar)'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al-Waab's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Waab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Qatar) Al-Waab
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al-Waab
3:1
Sep 22, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al-Waab
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 QFA Cup
Al-Waab vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarabia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al-Waab Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Qatar) 28 / 100
Al-Waab 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Qatar) Al-Waab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL- Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Arabi (Qatar)'s goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Al-Waab conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Arabi (Qatar) stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Qatar) VS Al-Waab
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Rayyan-
TBD-
Al-Shahaniya1
Shamal0
Umm-Salal-
TBD-
Al Sailiya1
Al Bidda3
Muaither SC2
Al-Kharitiyath0
Al Markhiya2
Al Khor1
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Qatar SC2
Al-Waab3
Al Mesaimeer1
Quarter-finals
Al Rayyan3
Al-Shahaniya0
Umm-Salal2
Al Bidda0
Muaither SC3
Al Markhiya2
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Al-Waab1
Semi-finals
Al Rayyan4
Umm-Salal3
Muaither SC4
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Final
Al Rayyan2
Muaither SC0